Description

This analysis provides a forecast of JASMY prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.017236 0.021693 0.027617 0.036353 0.049450 6.937690e-02 0.104369
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.012058 0.016679 0.023775 0.036350 0.060444 1.116090e-01 0.260630
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.009740 0.014300 0.022001 0.037559 0.073816 1.790915e-01 0.756935
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.008186 0.012525 0.020366 0.037858 0.085781 2.738424e-01 2.791059
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.006879 0.010804 0.018212 0.035876 0.090252 3.639085e-01 12.833619
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.006012 0.009664 0.016832 0.035019 0.097832 5.160875e-01 954.085917
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.005583 0.009235 0.016765 0.037478 0.121458 1.014947e+00 NaN
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.005329 0.009083 0.017242 0.041803 0.162866 2.942595e+00 NaN
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.005097 0.008924 0.017656 0.046315 0.220097 1.516904e+01 NaN
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.004709 0.008374 0.016971 0.046690 0.252973 9.373184e+01 NaN
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.004384 0.007905 0.016385 0.047179 0.292460 8.080217e+07 NaN
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.004023 0.007313 0.015348 0.045362 0.305061 NaN NaN
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.003638 0.006665 0.014166 0.043005 0.315574 NaN NaN
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.003362 0.006235 0.013518 0.042824 0.364112 NaN NaN
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.003169 0.005964 0.013254 0.044334 0.462847 NaN NaN
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.002972 0.005656 0.012807 0.044710 0.557134 NaN NaN
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.002735 0.005226 0.011913 0.042220 0.562203 NaN NaN
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.002556 0.004915 0.011323 0.041146 0.614310 NaN NaN
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.002476 0.004834 0.011434 0.044232 0.906851 NaN NaN
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.002436 0.004845 0.011842 0.049703 1.675016 NaN NaN
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.002391 0.004840 0.012198 0.055470 3.495120 NaN NaN
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 0.002281 0.004651 0.011878 0.055952 4.956574 NaN NaN
2025-05-11 00:00:00+00:00 0.002182 0.004481 0.011593 0.056581 7.475147 NaN NaN